Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.315373 0.340464 0.367290 0.398224 0.433054 0.471228 0.516465
2025-11-23 0.269290 0.304032 0.343712 0.392875 0.452841 0.524538 0.618197
2025-11-30 0.246960 0.287517 0.336023 0.399331 0.481359 0.586400 0.735206
2025-12-07 0.227570 0.270983 0.324714 0.397688 0.496847 0.631147 0.835032
2025-12-14 0.212312 0.257485 0.314989 0.395736 0.510037 0.672726 0.935945
2025-12-21 0.197084 0.242434 0.301448 0.386546 0.511077 0.695818 1.011593
2025-12-28 0.190534 0.238031 0.301350 0.395404 0.538350 0.760910 1.167438
2026-01-04 0.183567 0.232399 0.298875 0.400230 0.559605 0.819051 1.324022
2026-01-11 0.176058 0.225418 0.293823 0.400500 0.573338 0.866228 1.471060
2026-01-18 0.167205 0.215965 0.284488 0.393271 0.573808 0.889965 1.576299
2026-01-25 0.158005 0.205496 0.272977 0.381648 0.565536 0.896387 1.645572
2026-02-01 0.150775 0.197475 0.264587 0.374262 0.563646 0.914271 1.745376
2026-02-08 0.144215 0.190284 0.257284 0.368505 0.564794 0.939767 1.875527
2026-02-15 0.138347 0.183863 0.250834 0.363741 0.567399 0.969048 2.026886
2026-02-22 0.135461 0.181692 0.250744 0.369519 0.589995 1.043811 2.332091
2026-03-01 0.131151 0.177149 0.246644 0.368049 0.598531 1.089456 2.572677
2026-03-08 0.127102 0.172802 0.242591 0.366303 0.606248 1.134591 2.833992
2026-03-15 0.121977 0.166580 0.235198 0.358077 0.600017 1.145524 2.982752
2026-03-22 0.120504 0.165924 0.236756 0.366006 0.627768 1.245276 3.523681
2026-03-29 0.118396 0.164168 0.236384 0.370323 0.648384 1.331575 4.079146
2026-04-05 0.115644 0.161271 0.233947 0.370564 0.660115 1.396654 4.595440
2026-04-12 0.111833 0.156540 0.228197 0.364098 0.656131 1.416633 4.902487
2026-04-19 0.107523 0.150869 0.220627 0.353688 0.642202 1.405257 5.032606